Agricultural Committee
1) Grand Annual National Independence Day Universal Ice Cream Distribution, Commemoration, and Patriotic Dessert Access Act.
Final Score: $21.025 – for 2026 to 2035
Summary: The estimated provision will provide free ice cream to every American redeemable on July 4th of each year. The provision only applies to natural born and naturalized American citizens. The value of $21.025 billion for the 10 year window is based upon the estimate population of the eligible US population, the estimated cost of ice cream, grown at the rate of inflation, and based upon a 95% adoption rate.
Source(s):
- 2023 National Population Projections Tables: Main Series
- Citizenship and Immigration Statuses of the U.S. Foreign-Born Population | Congress.gov | Library of Congress
- Average Retail Food and Energy Prices, U.S. City Average and West Region : Mid–Atlantic Information Office : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Fed – December 10, 2025: FOMC Projections materials, accessible version
Modeling Used: Pulls population estimates and assumes that 52% of foreign born residents become naturalized citizens. Based off the BLS average price for ice cream, this value is then grown annually based on estimated inflation of 2.4% in 2026, 2.1% in 2027, and 2% in the long run, using FED estimates.
Additional Notes: The estimate of 95% is chosen based on the adoption rate of those would redeem the free ice cream each year.